What if you invested $1,000 in Nvidia 10 years ago?
Nvidia Investment 10 Years Later
The investment bank's robust confidence in Nvidia's trajectory shines through its elevated price target for NVDA shares, now set at an ambitious $1,000 β marking a notable increase from the prior $875 target.
Ten Year Stock Price Total Return for NVIDIA is calculated as follows: Last Close Price [ 762 ] / Adj Prior Close Price [ 4.40 ] (-) 1 (=) Total Return [ 17,228.8% ] Prior price dividend adjustment factor is 0.95.
Assuming Nvidia is still trading at the same forward P/E, its stock price could reach $3,360 by the end of 2030, or 328% above the current share price. That would put its market cap at over $8 trillion.
So, if you had invested in Nvidia ten years ago, you're likely feeling pretty good about your investment today. According to our calculations, a $1000 investment made in March 2014 would be worth $172,169.75, or a 17,116.97% gain, as of March 1, 2024.
Comparatively, its adjusted earnings per share are forecast to touch $115 by the end of fiscal 2028. If Nvidia stock is priced at 25x forward earnings, its shares should be priced at $2,875 in the next four years, indicating an upside potential of 300% from current levels.
Year | Prediction | Change |
---|---|---|
2025 | $ 1,373.36 | 80.23% |
2026 | $ 2,475.21 | 224.83% |
2027 | $ 4,461.08 | 485.44% |
2028 | $ 8,040.22 | 955.15% |
Key Points. Nvidia's stock and earnings have skyrocketed over the last year, alongside a boom in AI. The company still has plenty of room left to run and is likely to retain its sovereignty in AI chips. Improvements in the PC market could boost revenue for the rest of 2024.
We created three forecast scenarios for Nvidia's potential price, each with a different annual growth rate: 5% yearly growth, historical S&P 500 ROI (11.1%), and historical Nasdaq-100 ROI (15.2%). Based on these scenarios, the stock prices forecast for 2040 range between $1,694 and $8,191.
NVIDIA Corporation ( NVDA ) pays dividends on a quarterly basis. NVIDIA Corporation ( NVDA ) has increased its dividends for 1 year.
Is Nvidia the next Apple?
"We believe Nvidia can surpass Apple by capitalizing on the artificial intelligence economy, which will add an estimated $15 trillion to GDP.β That was Beth Kindig, lead tech analyst at the I/O Fund, making a prescient call on the AI chipmaker in August 2021.
The stock is expensive, but worth the premium
Shares trade at 77 times trailing-12-month earnings. Moreover, Nvidia's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37 is nearly double that of the S&P 500. Despite its ultra-premium valuation, I see Nvidia's stock as a solid opportunity for long-term investors.
Based on Nvidia's split history and its current price, a 2024 split is likely. Analyst Ken Mahoney, president and CEO of Mahoney Asset Management, agrees, although with a slightly longer timeline. Mahoney recently told Bloomberg News that he predicts Nvidia will split within 12 months.
What does that mean in dollar terms? Have a look at the above chart and you'll see that if you invested $1,000 in Nvidia stock 20 years ago, it would today be worth more than $426,000. The same amount invested in the S&P 500 would theoretically be worth about $6,600 today.
But here's another fact that you probably don't know: If you had invested $20,000 in Nvidia stock on that day -- and held it until today -- you'd be a millionaire. That's right, just $20,000 invested in the right time -- in the right stock --can set you up for life.
Discount Rate | Present Value | Future Value |
---|---|---|
20% | $1,000 | $38,337.60 |
21% | $1,000 | $45,259.26 |
22% | $1,000 | $53,357.64 |
23% | $1,000 | $62,820.62 |
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has become a candidate to overtake Microsoft and Apple as the largest company in the world. After starting 2023 being valued at around a $350 billion market cap, Nvidia is now worth about $2.2 trillion.
The hottest stock of our time is definitely Nvidia. After rising over 1,000% in the last five years to a market cap greater than $2 trillion, Nvidia has made millions of dollars for investors who held for the long term.
Nvidia has strong financials
The reason for Nvidia's stock performance despite a bear market was because of its strong financials. From FY 2023 to FY 2024, Nvidia's revenue jumped from $26.91 billion to $60.92 billion, almost a 2-and-a-half-time increase.
Also, considering the other notable catalysts that Nvidia could benefit from, it won't be surprising to see the company's top line head closer to $300 billion after five years. If that's indeed the case, investors can expect the stock to deliver outstanding gains once again over the coming five years.
Is Nvidia a buy sell or hold?
Nvidia's analyst rating consensus is a Strong Buy. This is based on the ratings of 41 Wall Streets Analysts.
Year | Mid-Year | Year-End |
---|---|---|
2027 | $2,692 | $2,995 |
2028 | $3,232 | $3,278 |
2029 | $3,344 | $3,595 |
2030 | $3,844 | $3,923 |
The key reason Nvidia stock is trading so high, in absolute terms, is because of the artificial intelligence (AI)-fueled price action over the last year. The stock has risen 61% this year, adding to its 240% rise in 2023.
Semiconductor market leader Nvidia (NVDA) remains a strong favorite, with the stock up roughly 85% year to date. While it is not too late to buy Nvidia stock, there are a few other AI options for investors who believe they have missed out on Nvidia.
When will Nvidia announce another stock split? After Nvidia announced its stock split on May 21, 2021, the stock had a strong run-up until the split took effect on July 20, increasing nearly 40% at its peak. This same time frame would also make sense in 2024, as Nvidia's annual meeting occurs in June.
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